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Posted in DVD & Blue Ray by Ted on July 8, 2010

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Who will be the winner regional or national actor

Regardless of the product coming out of the contest for the post of President of India, it is clear beginning to the contours of the politics in India are changing. It is dominated by national parties like Congress, BJP, Janta Dal or left, but by regional actors. As members are leaders like Mayawati and K. Karunanidhi are more important than have numbers on their side instead of the national parties the following, but without the number.

If the Congress Party is going out of the way to attract parties like Mayawati and K. Karunanidhi, including regional parties are in the background now, having lost the national elections as TDP, Lok Dal of Haryana and AIADMK are flexing their muscles and trying to build a third front to maintain a distance of both national parties is the Congress and the BJP.

These facts clearly indicate the future of Indian politics will decided by regional costumes and not by the national parties are expected to lose more ground in the coming days. The number of states where regional parties are dominating is growing every day. Wherever you look in the East, West, North or South, voters are turning to computers instead of regional parties national.

From North, two great examples are UP and Bihar, which will elect nearly a quarter of the members of Lok Sabha, the trend will posted for parts of the region while the Congress and the BJP only fighting for third or fourth position. The battle will be between Mayawati and Mulayam Singh to collect most of the 80 members to be elected by this state. As for Congress and the BJP, which will run very far. The same applies in Bihar, where the main contenders Laloo Yadav and present Chief Minister Nitish Kumar. Congress and the BJP is the junior partner with one of the regional players.

The three states where the battle will be between two parts of the region are Madhya Pradesh, Rajasthan and Himachal Pradesh. In these states, the results of the survey will be largely decided by incumbency factor giving little room for national parties to improve their reporting. Moving to South in two Dravidian parties in Tamil Nadu that DMK and AIADMK rule the roost and the national parties play minor roles. In Karnataka and Kerala is a mixed picture expected to emerge.

Moving to West in Maharashtra both Congress and the BJP have allies in the region, but probably play an equal and not as a junior partner. In Gujarat Congress and the BJP BJP to slug it have a head start thanks to Narendra Modi, who has been able to divide the been on the communal lines. As for the eastern region have left their pockets of influence and retain their strength, but his performance in the region will help in emerging economies such as national parties, with all India following its support base is becoming more and more regional based instead of running through different regions. In Punjab the fight will be between Congress and the BJP-Akali Dal while a junior partner of Akalis.

As for the states north east or peripherals such as Goa, Delhi, Haryana and the national parties have something to say, but the number will be small to make any impact on the national level. Given the circumstances, it is suggesting that at present two national parties hold sway over half the Lok Sabha, but at the moment around 2009 can be lose more body fat with muscle strength more and more enter the fold of regional parties.

This situation can not be bad for the country as in the last decade India has been ruled by a coalition rather than a single party. The implications of new trends is that regional players will have more influence on the Government of the Union, compared times when one party ruled in the center. This will verify the authoritarian tendencies, but also will make it difficult to resolve disputes between States in the exchange of water or issues related to land claims based on language.

Indian economic progress in coalition governments has been positive with a growth of seven to nine percent, but at the same time, the gap between rich and poor has grown. The combination of parts in the center will be very difficult to take firm action to reduce this gap. There are many who believe that any government with less capacity to govern will be good for the country over governance or bureaucratic rule only checks growth instead of making things better.

However, there is a downside to it as new coalition government ministries means larger and larger in Delhi and in states with less and less to do. Liberalization on the economic front is expected to reduce the size of the bureaucracy and their political masters, but the opposite has been happening. With each regional actor looking for a place in the sun, any combination survive only if the representation is given to everyone. A reverse trend is also emerging as a victory for BSP with a sufficient number to control the state largest in India on their own. This may happen nationwide. It seems unlikely now, but who knows as what happens in UP becomes a trend national as well if the past is any guide.

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